Football crazy

Anything goes, but keep it seemly...

Postby udosuk » Sun Dec 14, 2008 2:54 pm

In that case I'll move a few of the 2nd place teams around:

ManU v Real
Liverpool v Inter
Barca v Arsenal
Juve v Chelsea
Porto v Lyon
Roma v Sporting
Bayern v Villarreal
Panathinaikos v Atletico

For some reason the "U" of ManU has been mysteriously turned 90 degrees, becoming a "C" in my previous post.:)
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Postby 999_Springs » Wed Dec 17, 2008 7:13 am

Here is a correlation check on the predictions made earlier. Apart from Hull, Wigan, Fulham, Tottenham and Blackburn every team seems to be within three or four places of predicted.
tarek is still leading.
Code: Select all
rank           rs
1. tarek       0.568
2. 999_Springs 0.559
3. ttt         0.531
4. coloin      0.488


Could someone please check if my calculations are correct?
rs = 1-(6 sum(d²)/(20(20²-1))) = 1-(sum(d²)/1330)
999_Springs
1. Man Utd 4
2. Arsenal 9
3. Chelsea 1
4. Liverpool 9
5. Portsmouth 9
6. A Villa 4
7. Everton 0
8. Tottenham 49
9. Blackburn 100
10. Man City 49
11. Bolton 0
12. Middlesbrough 0
13. West Ham 9
14. Newcastle 0
15. Sunderland 9
16. Wigan 49
17. Fulham 49
18. West Brom 4
19. Stoke 36
20. Hull 196
rs=0.559
tarek
1. Man Utd 4
2. Arsenal 9
3. Chelsea 1
4. A Villa 0
5. Liverpool 16
6. Everton 1
7. Portsmouth 1
8. Tottenham 49
9. West Ham 49
10. Man City 49
11. Newcastle 9
12. Blackburn 49
13. Bolton 4
14. Middlesbrough 4
15. Fulham 25
16. Sunderland 4
17. Wigan 64
18. West Brom 4
19. Stoke 36
20. Hull 196
rs=0.568
ttt
1. Arsenal 16
2. Chelsea 0
3. Man Utd 0
4. Liverpool 9
5. A Villa 1
6. Tottenham 81
7. Portsmouth 1
8. Everton 1
9. West Ham 49
10. Man City 49
11. Newcastle 9
12. Blackburn 49
13. Bolton 4
14. Middlesbrough 4
15. Fulham 25
16. Sunderland 4
17. West Brom 9
18. Wigan 81
19. Stoke 36
20. Hull 196
rs=0.531
coloin
1 Man U 4
2 Chelsea 0
3 Liverpool 4
4 Arsenal 1
5 Aston Villa 1
6 Spurs 81
7 Everton 1
8 Man City 81
9 WBA 121
10 Newcastle 16
11 Portsmouth 9
12 Middlesbrough 0
13 West Ham 9
14 Sunderland 16
15 Hull 81
16 Bolton 25
17 Blackburn 4
18 Stoke City 25
19 Fulham 81
20 Wigan 121
rs=0.488
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Postby udosuk » Thu Dec 18, 2008 3:42 am

What an incredible match tonight in Japan. 6 goals in the last 18 minutes, including 4 within 5 minutes. Hopefully the final will be at least half as exciting.:)
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Postby udosuk » Sun Dec 21, 2008 2:38 am

I wrote:ManU v Real
Liverpool v Inter
Barca v Arsenal
Juve v Chelsea
Porto v Lyon
Roma v Sporting
Bayern v Villarreal
Panathinaikos v Atletico

Okay, let's rearrange the order of these rows:
1. Juve v Chelsea
2. ManU v Real
3. Liverpool v Inter
4. Porto v Lyon
5. Barca v Arsenal
6. Roma v Sporting
7. Bayern v Villarreal
8. Panathinaikos v Atletico

Match 1 is so good that I don't want to change.

Matches 2 & 3 are also nice but I decide to swap the 2nd teams, so it's now ManU v Inter & Liverpool v Real.

As for matches 4 to 8, I think I better cyclically shift the 2nd teams down 1 row, perhaps the matches will be more interesting:

Porto v Atletico
Barca v Lyon
Roma v Arsenal
Bayern v Sporting
Panathinaikos v Villarreal

Please help me check how accurate my latest prediction is.:D
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Postby Bigtone53 » Sun Dec 21, 2008 6:01 am

Bigtone53 wrote:
Come on. Reading!


Looking good so far:)
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Postby 999_Springs » Sun Dec 21, 2008 8:37 am

Bigtone53 wrote:
Bigtone53 wrote:
Come on. Reading!


Looking good so far


At the end of last season, even though Fulham won their game sending Reading down, Reading only needed to beat Derby 7-0 to stay up. Given how poor Derby were last season, there would have been nothing easier than this task at all.

But they failed by 3 goals.

I wonder how Reading would have done this season if they had stayed up.
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Postby 999_Springs » Tue Dec 23, 2008 9:06 am

Everton and Chelsea drew 0-0 last night.

For TWO weeks running, not a single one of the big 4 have won a league game. When was the last time this happened?
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Postby 999_Springs » Fri Jan 02, 2009 4:35 am

OK, so here are my FA Cup 3rd round predictions...

(Note: this is what I expect will happen, which differs somewhat from what I hope will happen...)

Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Wigan Athletic
Hartlepool United 1-2 Stoke City
Portsmouth 0-0 Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Fulham
Birmingham City 1-3 Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United 2-2 Barnsley
Middlesbrough 0-0 Barrow
Hull City 0-4 Newcastle United
Chelsea 2398469238-0 Southend United
Manchester City 1-2 Nottingham Forest
Cardiff City 2-1 Reading
Ipswich Town home walkover versus Nobody!!!
Charlton Athletic 1-1 Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 0-2 Peterborough United
Torquay United 1-1 Blackpool
Leyton Orient 1-4 Sheffield United
Millwall 0-0 Crewe Alexandra
Histon 5-2 Swansea City
Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Derby County
Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Burnley
Leicester City 1-0 Crystal Palace
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers
Arsenal 7-0 Plymouth Argyle
Kettering Town 3-1 Eastwood Town
Macclesfield Town 1-0 Everton
Watford 1-1 Scunthorpe United
Sunderland AFC 2-1 Bolton Wanderers
Coventry City 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers
Preston North End 0-4 Liverpool
Gillingham 2-2 Aston Villa
Southampton 3-4 Manchester United
Blyth Spartans AFC 0-0 Blackburn Rovers
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Postby udosuk » Sat Jan 03, 2009 4:55 am

999_Springs wrote:OK, so here are my FA Cup 3rd round predictions...

(Note: this is what I expect will happen, which differs somewhat from what I hope will happen...)

Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 Wigan Athletic 3-1
Hartlepool United 1-2 Stoke City 2-0
Portsmouth 0-0 Bristol City 0-0
Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Fulham 1-2
Birmingham City 1-3 Wolverhampton Wanderers ?-?
West Ham United 2-2 Barnsley 3-0
Middlesbrough 0-0 Barrow 2-1
Hull City 0-4 Newcastle United 0-0
Chelsea 2398469238-0 Southend United 1-1
Manchester City 1-2 Nottingham Forest 0-3
Cardiff City 2-1 Reading 2-0
Ipswich Town home walkover versus Nobody!!! 3-0
Charlton Athletic 1-1 Norwich City 1-1
West Bromwich Albion 0-2 Peterborough United 1-1
Torquay United 1-1 Blackpool 1-0
Leyton Orient 1-4 Sheffield United ?-?
Millwall 0-0 Crewe Alexandra 2-2
Histon 5-2 Swansea City ?-?
Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Derby County 3-4
Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Burnley 0-0
Leicester City 1-0 Crystal Palace 0-0
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers ?-?
Arsenal 7-0 Plymouth Argyle 3-1
Kettering Town 3-1 Eastwood Town 2-1
Macclesfield Town 1-0 Everton 0-1
Watford 1-1 Scunthorpe United 1-0
Sunderland AFC 2-1 Bolton Wanderers 2-1
Coventry City 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers 2-0
Preston North End 0-4 Liverpool 0-2
Gillingham 2-2 Aston Villa 1-2
Southampton 3-4 Manchester United 0-3
Blyth Spartans AFC 0-0 Blackburn Rovers ?-?

12/27 (44.44%) correct results (win/draw/lose), with 3 perfect guesses (exact scorelines).

Hopefully you can reach 50% with 5 matches remaining in this round... (you need 4/5 to do so).

And your prediction about the Chelsea-match... at least you only missed Southend's score by 1.:D
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Postby 999_Springs » Mon Jan 05, 2009 4:41 am

Damn! I really ought to have edited my post before you checked those predictions!
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Postby udosuk » Mon Jan 05, 2009 12:04 pm

Considering there are 3 ways for every match (win/draw/lose), getting near to 50% is a pretty good effort.

But after Blackburn's 1-0 win, you need to go 4/4 for the remaining matches to reach it.:)
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Postby 999_Springs » Sun Jan 11, 2009 7:12 am

Tottenham are back in the relegation zone AGAIN. Hull have 7 points from their last 12 games.

So, udosuk, will either of them finish above Arsenal this season? EH?
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Postby udosuk » Sun Jan 11, 2009 11:17 am

999_Springs wrote:Tottenham are back in the relegation zone AGAIN. Hull have 7 points from their last 12 games.

So, udosuk, will either of them finish above Arsenal this season? EH?

Yes, after this horrible weekend it's official I've jinxed them by my bold claim. Next round after the inevitable rout Arsenal would give Hull the coffin will be nailed.:(

What's more, after ManU's victory against Chelsea they're virtually back to the top of the ladder, if we count the almost certain victories against Wigan & Fulham. So things have come "back on track" for most of the "normal fans".
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Postby tarek » Mon Jan 12, 2009 6:40 am

Man U have to be favourites after this:( ?
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Postby 999_Springs » Wed Jan 14, 2009 5:48 am

999_Springs wrote:Birmingham City 1-3 Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-2
Leyton Orient 1-4 Sheffield United 1-4 <--Wow, can't believe I got this one!
Histon 5-2 Swansea City 1-2
Cheltenham Town 1-0 Doncaster Rovers 0-0
*sighs*
14/32 = 43.75%
I envy those who make a fortune by putting about £2 on 15 or 16 or so win/draw/lose fixtures...
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