coloin wrote:Is it just luck/coincidence/statistically likely - that "nearly" all grids have a 19 somewhere in them, say 1 in 10 have an 18 and only 1 in 100000 has a 17.
Hmm, I do think it's mostly luck/coincidence, but I'm not that sure that "nearly" all grids have a 19.
I made some further research on grids with high amount of 2-digit unavoidables. I picked 10 random grids with 70 or more 2d-unavoidables and searched them all for 19 clue puzzles, here's the results:
- Code: Select all
(2d-unavoidables; MCN; amount of 19-clue puzzles; grid)
71;15; 0;386214975549783621721569348865127439437695812912348567198432756274956183653871294
70;14 22;374856912582913647961724538658379421193642785427581369745268193219437856836195274
70;14; 7;374215689126489753958367124745638291612794835839521467483152976597846312261973548
70;12;17;436815279579642138128937456285793614967421385314586927643278591792154863851369742
71;15; 0;421659837367281945859437126134826759276915384985374261798562413612743598543198672
70;12; 7;214936785876542139593817642768425391952361874431789256325198467687254913149673528
71;13;10;814635792396742581527981634981523467642897153735164829468219375179358246253476918
70;15; 0;465139287972648531318752946649281375153476892827593164586317429794825613231964758
70;15; 0;918423756726519384543768912832654179657891243194372568481935627279186435365247891
70;15; 4;612475398854329617397861254149236785583197462276548931438612579961754823725983146
4/10 had no 19s and the maximum amount of 19s was 22, which leaves all grids very far from any 18 puzzles. Based on these results I would say that there should be a lot more grids that require at least 20 clues than there is grids that can be solved in 17 clues. Looking for grids with 17 clue puzzles by choosing grids with "good properties" has never given any good results, but apparently grids with no 19s aren't hard to find this way. Even if the 17s are more common in grids with better properties (1/160000 random grids have 17s and 1/127 FE-grids have 17s), most of the 17s are in grids that don't seem to be very special, there's just so many more grids hat have average properties. My guess is that it's quite the same with "no 19s" grids, most of them should be grids that don't have this good properties.
These are actually all grids with 70 or more 2d-unavoidables found in a random sample of 5.000.000 grids (produced by gsf's program). That would estimate over 4000 grids with no 19s, only among the grids with >70 2d-unavs. A set of 5M random grids usually have around 100 grids with MCN 16, giving 100.000 MCN 16 grids (only counting MCN 16 grids with four disjoint 16-perms), many of which shouldn't have 19s either. And as I said, there should be a lot more grids with average properties, but still no 19.
I noticed one interesting thing with the puzzles produced. The grids with a few 17 clue puzzles usually have all the puzzles in the same region, with many common clues. These grids don't. The 22 puzzles from grid #2:
- Code: Select all
000800010000000040900020000600300000000000780007001000045000003010007006000090200
000050902080900040001000000600000000000040080007001000045008000000007006030000200
000050000000000607900024000000009420003600000007000000000000103200000050806100000
000050000000000607900024000000009420003600000007000000000000093200000050806100000
000050000000000607900024000000009420003600000007000000000008103200000050006100000
000006002080900040001000000600000000000040080007501000040000090000007006830000200
000000000502900000000004008000070020103000000400501000000260090000030050800000004
000000000002900000000004508000070020103000000400501000000260090000030050800000004
000006000000010607900004000000009420003000000007500000000200093010000050806000000
000000000000010607900004000000009420003600000007500000000008193200000050006000000
000000000002003007060004008000000401003002000007500000040060090010000050800100000
000000900080013600000700000600000401003002000007500000040060000010000050000000270
000000900080013000000700500600000401003002000007500000040060000010000050000000270
000000900000010600000700030000009401003002000007500000040060000010000050800100070
000006002002000007060004000000009400100000080007080000040000090000037006800100000
000006002080900040001000000600000001000040080007080000040000090200007006030100000
000000902000000600001704000000009400103600000007080000040060000000000050800100070
000000000002900000000004508000000020100000700400081060000260090000000000830005004
000000900502003000000004008000000020100000700400081000000260000000000850006090004
004000000000003600001700500000000001090640000020080300000060090000007000800100004
004000000000000040001700500000009001090040000020080300000200093000000006800105000
070006000080900040000020030600000001003040000000080000040000090010007806000100000
There's not a single clue that is common to all puzzles. Only 8 of the clues are not used in any of the puzles. The 17 puzzles of #4 doesn't have any common clue either. The 10 puzzles of #7 have one common clue (r9c5).
The searches took 6-16 hours each on Pentium M 1.7GHz. For some reason #6, MCN only 12, was among the fastest (<8h).
I've looked at all produced puzzles, most are very easy, none seemed really interesting.
RW